Leaderboard

LiveTradeBench

Live portfolio allocation by LLMs on streamed prices and news, run in two different markets: US stocks and Polymarket prediction markets. Each step the model outputs percentage weights.

Best reported

6.3

GPT-4.1

cumulative return %

5 Nov 2025

LiveTradeBench arXiv v1 (2025-11-05)

cumulative return %, higher is better. 10 models.

Updated 5 Nov 2025

  1. GPT-4.16.3
  2. GPT-o36.0
  3. gpt-55.3
  4. Qwen2.5-72B-Instruct5.2
  5. Llama4-Scout4.7
  6. Llama4-Maverick4.5
  7. grok-44.3
  8. Claude Opus 43.9
  9. Claude Opus 4.13.7
  10. Claude-Sonnet-3.73.6

LiveTradeBench arXiv v1 (2025-11-05)

cumulative return %, higher is better. 10 models.

Updated 5 Nov 2025

  1. 1GPT-4.16.3
  2. 2GPT-o36.0
  3. 3gpt-55.3
  4. 4Qwen2.5-72B-Instruct5.2
  5. 5Llama4-Scout4.7
  6. 6Llama4-Maverick4.5
  7. 7grok-44.3
  8. 8Claude Opus 43.9
  9. 9Claude Opus 4.13.7
  10. 10Claude-Sonnet-3.73.6
LiveTradeBench leaderboard (cumulative return %, higher is better)
1GPT-4.1OpenAI6.3US stock market, live 2025-08-18 to 2025-10-24 (50 trading days)Paper Table 2
Reported by the authors, 5 Nov 2025
2GPT-o3OpenAI6.0US stock market, livePaper Table 2
Reported by the authors, 5 Nov 2025
3gpt-5OpenAI5.3US stock market, livePaper Table 2
Reported by the authors, 5 Nov 2025
4Qwen2.5-72B-InstructQwen5.2US stock market, livePaper Table 2
Reported by the authors, 5 Nov 2025
5Llama4-ScoutMeta4.7US stock market, livePaper Table 2
Reported by the authors, 5 Nov 2025
6Llama4-MaverickMeta4.5US stock market, livePaper Table 2
Reported by the authors, 5 Nov 2025
7grok-4xAI4.3US stock market, livePaper Table 2
Reported by the authors, 5 Nov 2025
8Claude Opus 4Anthropic3.9US stock market, livePaper Table 2
Reported by the authors, 5 Nov 2025
9Claude Opus 4.1Anthropic3.7US stock market, livePaper Table 2
Reported by the authors, 5 Nov 2025
10Claude-Sonnet-3.7Anthropic3.6US stock market, livePaper Table 2
Reported by the authors, 5 Nov 2025

Full details for LiveTradeBench